Brief History of Bitcoin Bull & Bear Markets

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Bitcoin remains the dominant force in the cryptocurrency market, commanding over 45% market dominance. Its price movements often dictate trends across the broader crypto ecosystem. When Bitcoin rises or falls, altcoins tend to follow suit.

👉 Explore Bitcoin's market impact


2008: The Birth of Bitcoin

On January 3, 2009, Satoshi Nakamoto mined the genesis block, launching the Bitcoin network. Initially, Bitcoin had no exchange value until Mt. Gox—the first Bitcoin exchange—debuted in 2010.

The first real-world Bitcoin transaction occurred on May 22, 2010, when Laszlo Hanyecz paid 10,000 BTC for two pizzas. This event is now celebrated annually as Bitcoin Pizza Day.


2013: Bitcoin’s First Bull Run

⬆ Price: $145 → $1,200 (+700%)

Peak: December 3, 2013 ($1,200)

Bitcoin’s 2013 surge saw it skyrocket from $145 to $1,200 in under two months. The rally ended abruptly after the Mt. Gox hack, leading to a two-year bear market that bottomed at $230 in 2015.

💡 Key Pattern: Bitcoin often peaks at year-end during bull markets.


2014: Bear Market Dominance

⬇ Price: $800 → $178 (-77%)

Low: January 13, 2015 ($178)

Following 2013’s highs, Bitcoin plummeted throughout 2014, hitting a low of $178 in early 2015. This cemented its reputation for cyclical volatility.


2015–2017: The Mega Bull Cycle

2015: $178 → $463 (+160%)

2016: $433 → $1,150 (+165%)

2017: $1,100 → $19,500 (+1,600%)

Bitcoin staged a historic rally during these years, culminating in a December 2017 peak near $20,000. Each year’s high occurred in Q4, reinforcing the year-end trend.

💡 Investor Insight: Bull markets often align with Bitcoin halving events (every 4 years).


2018–2022: Volatility and Maturation

2018: Bear Market ($19,500 → $3,600)

2020: Bull Run ($8,000 → $39,300)

2022: Bear Market ($47,300 → $20,000)

Post-2017 highs, Bitcoin entered a prolonged correction. The 2020 COVID crash ($5,550 in March) gave way to a 400% rally, peaking in January 2021—another year-end-adjacent surge.

👉 Bitcoin halving cycles explained


2023–2024: Institutional Adoption

2023: $16,800 → $42,200 (+130%)

Driven by ETF speculation and halving anticipation, Bitcoin closed 2023 strong. Analysts predict 2024 could breach $100,000, fueled by:

  1. Spot ETF approvals
  2. April 2024 halving
  3. Macro liquidity shifts

Key Takeaways

  1. Cyclicality: Bull/bear markets last ~4 years, often tied to halvings.
  2. Year-End Peaks: 80% of bull market highs occur in Q4.
  3. Macro Drivers: Regulation, institutional interest, and tech upgrades (e.g., Ordinals) now influence price.

FAQ

Q: When is the next Bitcoin bull run?

A: Likely late 2024–2025, post-halving. Historically, major rallies begin 5–12 months after halvings.

Q: What’s the best indicator for buying Bitcoin?

A: Combine:

Q: Could Bitcoin hit $1 million?

A: Long-term models (e.g., Stock-to-Flow) suggest it’s possible by 2030–2040 if adoption continues.


🚀 Pro Tip: Use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to navigate volatility and accumulate during bear markets.

Disclaimer: Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always DYOR.