The Bitcoin Rollercoaster
Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market cap has dipped slightly from 70% to 66%, primarily due to its recent pullback while altcoins staged a rebound. Markets naturally ebb and flow—no coin rises indefinitely, nor falls perpetually. Remember: when others panic, stay calm; when they greedily chase highs, exercise caution.
Market Psychology in Action
- In 2018, when BTC hovered near $3,000, despair peaked with predictions of $1,500 or lower. That marked the bottom.
- Conversely, at 2025’s peak above $13,000, unchecked optimism saw calls for $100,000. Classic buy high, sell low behavior.
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Technical Breakdown
Key Bitcoin Signals
- Triple-Top Rejection: Three failed breakout attempts with heavy volume trapped buyers, forming a distribution pattern.
- Media Fatigue: Post-hype cooling reduces new investor inflows ("fewer liberators").
- Geopolitical Calm: Easing US-China tensions weakened BTC’s safe-haven appeal.
- 4-Hour Chart Shift: Transition from bullish to bearish momentum (critical for derivatives traders).
Pro Tip: Use 5-day moving averages to time entries/exits during trend reversals.
Altcoin Analysis
| Coin | Trend | Action |
|---|---|---|
| ETH | Weak | Short-term bounce possible |
| XRP | Very weak | Avoid—limited upside |
| LTC | Weakest | Pass—strength follows momentum |
| BCH | Neutral | Hold if above 5-day MA |
| EOS | Oversold | Weak rebound likely |
| ETC | Volatile | Hold near-term |
Exchange Tokens
- BNB: Consolidating near $29; await breakout.
- HT: $10B valuation supported by Huobi’s $360M annual buybacks.
- OKB: Bearish—reduce exposure.
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FAQs
Q: Is Bitcoin’s bull run over?
A: Mid-term correction underway, but long-term indicators remain intact.
Q: Which altcoins could rebound fastest?
A: ETH and BCH show relative strength, but monitor volume.
Q: Should I trade forks now?
A: Historically, fork pumps last <48 hours—high risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis represents the author’s views, not financial advice. Always DYOR.